Baseball gambling pick
May 23rd MLB news ... Welcome to Baseball gambling pick, the place with the baseball bettor in mind. Scoring a profit over the baseball season comes down to being as informed as possible on all of the key statistics and trends.
Welcome to Baseball gambling pick, the place with the baseball bettor in mind. Scoring a profit over the baseball season comes down to being as informed as possible on all of the key statistics and trends.
Need to know how a team hits left-handed pitching? How about information on how a team plays during the day? You will find all of that information and more, by logging on daily throughout the baseball season.
Red Sox have already shot down a couple of Cole Hamels trade proposals from the Phillies
The Phillies are officially buying into the idea of a rebuild and Hamels represents an efficient way for them to restock their minor league system quickly. But, as expected, GM Ruben Amaro wants at least three top prospects for his ace. The Red Sox are already actively assessing top-tier free agent starters including Jon Lester and it may prove more prudent for them to overpay by one or two years and a few million as opposed to giving up a handful of talented young players for starting pitching.
Hamels, who turns 31 in December, is entering the third year of a six-year, $144 million contract extension signed in July 2012. The Phillies still owe him $96 million. The lefty turned in the best season of his career despite starting the season on the disabled list, finishing with a 2.46 ERA and a 198/59 K/BB ratio over 204 2/3 innings.
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Milwaukee Brewers acquire Zack Greinke from Kansas City Royals
The Milwaukee Brewers proved that they are dead serious in forming a more formidable team next season when they acquired Zack Greinke from the Kansas City Royals.
The Brewers also acquired shortstop Yuniesky Betancourt plus cash considerations, while sending Alcides Escobar, Lorenzo Cain, Jake Odorizzi, and Jeremy Jeffress to the Royals.
Brewers’ general manager Doug Melvin expressed his excitement for successfully acquiring Greinke, despite giving up a lot of talents like prospects Odorizzi and Jeffress. Melvin said that the arrival of Greinke, whom he tagged as one of the top young pitchers today, will give them a big boost next season.
“Zack Greinke is one of the top young pitchers in the game today,” Melvin said in the team’s official statement. “We are very excited to add him to our new rotation. Zack brings great physical skills and athleticism to the team and is an outstanding competitor. This trade is a credit to our scouting and player development staff as their hard work and judgment provided us the talented prospects that Kansas City will be receiving.”
Milwaukee outfielder Corey Hart also expressed his excitement after hearing the news and he declared that the Brewers would be a tough nut to crack next season, especially after acquiring Shaun Marcum earlier this offseason.
“We were getting better with Marcum, now Greinke,” Hart said. “Brewers are for real!”
Royals general manager Dayton Moore, on the other hand, said that Greinke, who was 10-14 with a 4.17 ERA last season, would be a big loss, but the young players they acquired from Milwaukee would fit in their system and their rotation that also features up-and-coming players.
“We expect to be competitive next year,” Moore said. “We're still working to improve our baseball team.”
Moore also revealed that Greinke, who was 60-67 with a 3.82 ERA in his more than six seasons with the Royals, was very cooperative during the trade talks and the veteran pitcher even agreed to waive the no-trade clause in his contract that he signed on January 2009.
“He was very much open to it at the end of the day,” Moore said. “A big part of my heart will always pull for Zack. What he overcame, the success he had here, to the point it's not easy to make these types of deals. You would prefer to have him here and sign him long-term but it just wasn't something we could do.”
Moore reiterated that the decision to deal Greinke was a difficult decision, but they have to make the move in their bid to rebuild for their future. Moore is expecting Greinke to shine in the National League next season.
“This guy's one of the best fielding pitchers in the game,” Moore said. “You can't bunt on him. He holds runners. He's a studier. I think he's going to do terrific.”
With the deal, the Royals prove that they are dead serious in their rebuilding process and adding Odorizzi, who was one of the top minor league pitching prospects, will give them a boost next season, as well as Escobar and Jeffress, who both had decent performances last season. The Brewers are +2000 to win the National League pennant in 2011 according to the Baseball Odds at sportsbook.com the home of MLB betting.
MLB: Major League Baseball Trendy Talk
This week’s trendy talk Wednesday feature focuses in on four meaningful baseball contests. These games will be affected by some fairly distinct betting angles so be sure to read the analysis before hitting the confirm button on your wagers. If you need more, be sure to visit the GAME MATCHUPS page on Sportsbook.com for more key betting info.
Florida at Philadelphia 7:05 E
Both these NL East clubs busted out scoring slumps last night as they totaled 18 runs on 26 hits, with Philadelphia (31-26, -5.4 units) winning 10-8. Because of tonight’s pitching matchup, they could both go right back into batting slumps. Roy Halladay (8-3, 2.03 ERA) goes for the Phillies and Josh Johnson (6-2, 2.10) for Florida (28-31, -5.5).
Sportsbook.com has the Phillies as -160 money line home favorites and as good as Doc Halladay is, Johnson isn’t too shabby with the Marlins 41-18 when he starts and 13-5 when he is underdog of +150 or less. With the way the Phils have been hitting lately, Halladay probably feels like he’s back in Toronto and is 5-9 (-11.8 Units) against the ML after giving up two or less earned runs in his last two outings over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)
It’s not all doom and gloom for Philadelphia as they are 29-15 vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better and the floundering Fish (four straight losses) are 1-11 versus a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or lower this season.
San Diego at N.Y. Mets 7:10 E
The Padres (34-24, +13.3) got a rare taste of their own medicine, falling 2-1 in extra innings to New York (31-27, +4.1). Even with last night’s defeat, San Diego is uncanny 9-3 when a total of four or less runs are scored this year. Mat Latos (5-4, 3.26) has the unfortunate luck of drawing another top line pitcher in tonight’s action. Latos has been matched against Halladay, Tim Hudson, Felix Hernandez, Josh Johnson, Yovani Gallardo and Jonathan Sanchez (three times) and has to look at Johan Santana (4-2, 2.76 ERA) this evening.
Santana has thrown 15 straight scoreless innings and has a 0.74 ERA over his last five starts and his teammates are thriving at Citi Field. The Mets are 23-9 at home and are riding their second nine-game winning streak in the Big Apple. New York is 7-0 at home after three or more consecutive wins this season and is a -150 ML favorite. Santana is his career is 104-33 as a favorite of -150 or more. (Team's Record) San Diego will attempt to counter and is 9-3 after four or more consecutive road games in 2010.
L.A. Angels at Oakland 10:05 E
Though it seldom gets much play nationally, the Angels (32-29, +2.2) and Athletics (31-29, +3.7) is one of the more heated division rivalries in baseball. The teams have split the first two of a four game series and Oakland will attempt to retake second place on the AL West behind Dallas Braden (4-5, 3.77), who hasn’t won since tossing a perfect game on Mother’s Day. Braden is 0-3 with a 4.45 ERA since May 9th; however oddsmakers still have the left-hander and the A’s as -128 favorites. Braden is 5-13 (-12.1 Units) against the ML as a home favorite of -110 or higher. (A's Record)
The Halos had their six-game winning stopped last night with 10-1 thumping and hand the ball to Joe Saunders (4-6, 4.78), who could be spokesperson for a yoyo company with his up and down performances. Saunders and the Angels are 13-4 in road tests vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs a game since 2008 and the port-sider is 10-4 vs. his rival. Even with last night’s loss, the Angels are 14-6 at McAfee Coliseum the past three seasons.
St. Louis at L.A. Dodgers 10:10 E
Manager Tony LaRussa tried to play the percentages, essentially giving away the first game of the series in Los Angeles with his pitching choices and coming back with Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright (8-3, 2.05 ERA) the next two games. His plan was foiled as Hiroki Kuroda and two relievers combined for a six-hitter in the Dodgers 1-0 shutout victory. St. Louis (33-26, -5) hasn’t been great this year, however they have avoided long losing streaks, but our in danger of losing four in a row for the first time since June 5-9, 2009.
Having Wainwright to pitch will be a big plus, as he is 3-1 with a 1.20 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 30 innings over his last four overall outings and has a 1.23 ERA in three starts against the Dodgers (35-24, +4.8). With the Cardinals a -105 betting option, they and Wainwright are 14-3 when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last two seasons.
The Blue Crew is in the midst of its longest homestand of the year (13 games) and have won seven of first nine and they own the finest record in the big leagues since May 9 at 22-7. Clayton Kershaw (5-3, 3.06) toes the rubber for L.A., with his club 37-15 at Dodger Stadium with a money line of -100 to -150 since last year.
MLB: MLB Series Betting - Atlanta at San Francisco
Both the Braves and Giants showed considerable improvement in 2009 and both hope to be able to continue that momentum into a new season, leading to postseason baseball. They meet this weekend in the Bay Area with the host Giants priced as a -130 series favorite according to Sportsbook.com. Let’s take a look at the series game-by-game.
The series opener is a game of firsts for both squads. This is the home opener for San Francisco who swept Houston in their building and this the first road game of a new campaign for Atlanta who won series over Chicago.
The Braves might be without one of their top sticks in the lineup as Chipper Jones strained his oblique muscle in batting practice yesterday and was forced out of the game on Thursday. Depending on the severity, he could miss one game or the entire series. That means others have to step up in his place like Brian McCann or rookie Jason Heyward for Braves club that is 29-47 on the road the last two years in the first half of the season.
The Braves welcome back Tim Hudson, who didn’t pitch until September last season after elbow surgery, but feels great and is ready for new campaign. “I feel like I had better stuff than I had before surgery,” Hudson told the Braves’ official Web site following a spring start. “It almost feels like I’m going out there and opening up a new present.” Atlanta is 8-3 when Hudson starts after scoring two runs or less and the right-hander is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA in four career starts at AT&T Park.
Everyone expects the Giants to have great pitching again, but they scored 18 runs in taking all three games vs. Astros, which included 19 base hits in Wednesday’s finale. San Francisco was very comfortable at home last season with 52-29 record.
Jonathan Sanchez will try to provide manager Bruce Boche with a fourth straight strong performance from the San Fran starters, which limited the Astros to three earned runs and 13 hits in 19 2/3 innings. Sanchez is entrenched in Giants lore, throwing no-hitter last season, the first in 33-years for San Francisco. He has classic three-quarters lefty delivery with low 90’s fastball and sweeping curveball. He’s improved his split pitch that he can fade down and away from right-hand batters.
Sportsbook.com has Atlanta as -110 money line favorite with total Un8 for this afternoon opener. The Braves ended last season winning 21 of last 28 road contests and is 9-3-1 UNDER in game one of series. The Giants are in potentially negative spot, with 9-23 record with Sanchez as underdog starter and they were 15-5-3 OVER as home pooch.
Game 1 Edge: San Francisco
The early part of the schedule is perfect time for manager’s to get their whole roster involved. The Braves website is suggesting that could be true. Catcher McCann is expected to be off in the series afternoon opener after catching a night game. McCann should be back in the batting order on Saturday. Fourth outfielder Matt Diaz is presumed to play in at least one game and Omar Infante is expected to fit in somewhere in the infield.
There has been conflicting reports about who the game two starter will be, however Derek Lowe is on normal rest, thus he’s expected to take the mound. Lowe allowed five earned runs in six innings against Chicago on Opening Day and didn’t look completely at ease with the changes he’s made in delivery to get more sink on his pitches. The Braves won Lowe’s last four road starts in 2009 and he’s 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA in his last nine starts against the Giants.
San Francisco is expected to counter with fifth start Todd Wellemeyer, who made the club as a non-roster invitee, beating out a couple of top prospects for the job, at least for now. The 31-year old righty was cut loose by St. Louis after 7-10 season (5.89 ERA), which saw him surrender 160 hits in 122 1/3 innings, including 19 that went over the fence. Expect Atlanta to load up with left-handed bats since that is really a troublesome area for Wellemeyer. Possibly the Giants can hit their way to a victory and they are 6-2 at home against right-hand starters to begin the series.
Game 2 Edge: Atlanta
Tim Lincecum is expected to close the series for Giants in afternoon action and was dazzling in his initial start of the season. The two-time Cy Young winner looked intent on a third, hurling seven shutout innings, conceding four hits –all singles, fanning seven Houston batters and walking none. He will look to master the Braves lineup and is 5-1 with a 2.72 ERA in six career starts against the Atlanta.
Bobby Cox could counter Lincecum with Kenshin Kawakami, his fifth starter. The Japanese right-hander was 7-12 with 3.86 ERA last season and earned the nickname “Dragonslayer” in out-pitching Roy Halladay and Ervin Santana last year for wins. He’ll have his chance to enhance that image against San Fran’s ace, being you typical Far East pitcher with array of fastballs, late-breaking sliders and downward curveballs, unafraid to throw any or all pitches on any count. Kawakami will get smoked if he throws the ball over the plate.
Game 3 Edge: San Francisco
The key to the series is the first game, as the latter two contests have team aces up against No. 5 starters. Both bullpens have been sharp to start the year so not much difference there. For this series we’ll give the nod to the Giants because of history in the Bay Area. San Francisco has won four in a row over Atlanta and seven of eight at AT&T Park.
Sportsbook.com series odds: Atlanta Even, San Francisco -130
StatFox Edge Pick: San Francisco
MLB: Cincinnati up against wicked 90 percent system
The Cincinnati Reds have fallen into the abyss and are engaged in a battle they really can’t win at the moment. Things started to go south just before the All-Star break, losing six of eight. They have gotten even worse lately, with eight straight losses while posting just one win in their last 15 contests. Making matters worse, the Reds are up against a nasty betting system as they take on the Cubs on Wednesday. No wonder 85% of bettors are backing Chicago at Sportsbook.com.
The offense in particular is to blame, having nine hits as the high water mark in last 11 games. The Cincinnati bats have generated an atrocious 3.1 runs per game during stretch and they have lacked pitching support as bailout backup plan, since they have been outscored by almost three runs per game (2.93) during this horrendous period.
It doesn’t figure to get any easier tonight against their division rival Chicago Cubs (57-48, -0.4 units). The Cubs are a National League-best 14-5 (+8.85) since the All-Star game and are mere percentage points ahead of St. Louis for the lead in the NL Central. With two victories already in hand in the series, the Cubs have won six in a row over the Reds this season.
Chicago will go for the sweep behind Rich Harden (7-6, 4.50 ERA), who has worked out mechanical issues. Harden was having difficulties with his stride, causing him to throw everything up in the strike zone. Since making correction, Harden has 1.50 ERA in his last four starts and picked up two wins. The right-hander has been sterling on the road all year with 4-1 record and 2.19 ERA in eight assignments.
With Cincinnati scoring a measly 2.6 runs per game in this eight-game losing streak, they are +165 home underdogs according to Sportsbook.com and run up against this puissant system.
Play Against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more, who is cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last three games, against opponent with a sizzling starting pitcher, with WHIP 1.000 or less over his last five starts.
With the Reds 4-15 at Great American Ballpark after five straight games with less than 10 hits, it is even more difficult to combat a system that is 40-4, 90.9 percent since 2005. The Cubs are bashing bad baseball teams like the Reds and are 9-0 vs. clubs outscored by opposition by 0.5 or more runs a game in the second half of the season.
Take a close look at playing against Cincy the results are in your favor to be satisfied.