Baseball gambling pick
Welcome to Baseball gambling pick, the place with the baseball bettor in mind. Scoring a profit over the baseball season comes down to being as informed as possible on all of the key statistics and trends.
Welcome to Baseball gambling pick, the place with the baseball bettor in mind. Scoring a profit over the baseball season comes down to being as informed as possible on all of the key statistics and trends.
Need to know how a team hits left-handed pitching? How about information on how a team plays during the day? You will find all of that information and more, by logging on daily throughout the baseball season.
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MLB Series Betting- White Sox at Red Sox
2008-08-29
Both the Chicago White Sox and the Boston Red Sox are seeing Twins, the Minnesota kind, in the rearview mirror. Chicago is trying to hold off Minnesota to win the AL Central, while Boston has one eye looking behind to keep the Twins back in the wild card chase and still peeking ahead to see if they can catch Tampa Bay in the AL East. With just over four weeks left in the regular season, these head to head matchups are extremely important in determining the outcome of who will be American League participants in the postseason.
Chicago passed its first test on nine-game road trip, winning series in Baltimore and will try to do the same in Bean Town for the holiday weekend. Sox skipper Ozzie Guillen believes Boston will have somewhat of a letdown after winning series against bitter rival New York. "I don't think they will be the same, mentally-tough-wise, after playing New York and then come to play us," Guillen said. "I know a little bit. They are going to be down. No way they are going to max out when you play in Yankee Stadium." The White Sox come into this contest 8-1 after a day of rest and will start Javier Vazquez (10-11, 4.37, 1.281) who is 8-0 when pitching on Friday’s for Chicago the last two seasons.
Boston nearly swept the Yankees except for late game heroics by Jason Giambi yesterday that helped salvage one game for New York. The Red Sox return to Fenway Park, where they will play 20 of their remaining 29 games, setting up possibility to make serious run at Tampa Bay. Boston has the third best home winning percentage in baseball and could actually surpass both the Cubs and the Rays, since they have played fewer home games and actually have fewer losses than either team at home. Sportsbook.com has Boston as -165 home favorites with Daisuke Matsuzaka (15-2, 2.98, 1.379) subbing for Josh Beckett, who was scratched again, with inflammation in his right elbow. Matsuzaka will be working on normal four days rest, thus routines will continue as normal. Matsuzaka is 8-2 at Fenway with 3.28 ERA in a dozen starts and the Red Sox will try and build on phenomenal 40-13 record against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
Game 1 Edge: Boston
This trend has been going on for years and it has not changed one iota this year for White Sox pitcher Mark Buehrle (11-10, 3.86, 1.322). The lefthander has been one of the most dominant pitchers in home ballpark since the new millennium began. Once he leaves the South Side of Chicago, he is either very ordinary or revolting, like this season. Buehrle has to hit his spots to be effective, when he doesn’t; this is why his record is 3-7 (Chicago 3-10) on the road. Incredibly for a veteran pitcher, his road ERA is 1.83 higher, compared to when he pitches at US Cellular Park. The Pale Hose come into this series 6-21 if home team has winning percentage greater than .600. The couple flickers of hope for Chicago involve Buehrle having 3.28 ERA pitching at night, compared to scary 7.09 figure in daylight. Unless brought in for emergency use on Friday, David Pauley (0-0, 10.38) will make his fifth major league start, his first since April 22 with the big club. Pauley had a strong year at Triple-A Pawtucket, going 14-4 with a 3.55 ERA in 25 starts. The BoSox will hope to mash, as they are 19-10 against lefties and 26-8 in home games vs. teams outscoring opposition by 0.5 or more runs a game before series started.
Game 2 Edge: Chicago
Having been off of Thursday, manager Guillen tighten up the rotation this time around and has Gavin Floyd (14-6, 3.70, 1.235) pitching on normal rest, just not in same sequence. Floyd has had huge impact on White Sox success this season and been dependable all year. Floyd has harnessed his ability and is brutal on right-hand hitters, as they are batting a pittance at .215. Floyd and the White Sox are .500 on the road, but 7-1 during the day. Knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (8-8, 3.73, 1.197) came off the disabled list and was competent in throwing five innings in Boston’s win at New York. Since learning to throw this dancing pitch, Wakefield has gone through amazing streaks of being un-hittable to being similar to a batting practice pitcher. In his last 10 starts he’s been more like the former, with 3.09 ERA, allowing 50 hits in 64 innings and better than 2 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Red Sox are 24-17 in day games compared the White Sox who 26-19.
Game 3 Edge: Boston
The Chicago White Sox have not been bad on the road at 30-35; nevertheless Boston has such a decisive edge playing at Fenway before sellouts virtually every game. The Red Sox have won 15 of 20 home series, including seven sweeps in 2008, no reason to play against them over the weekend.
Sportsbook.com series odds: Boston -220, Chicago +170
StatFox Edge Pick: Boston
2008 Record – 10-7
MLB: Top Baseball Weekend Power Trends
2008-08-29
This weekend will wrap up the month of August, and in Major League Baseball, that’s means we’re just one month away from the postseason. There are still a lot of things left to decide however, most notably, which eight teams will make the playoff parade. One is almost a certainty already, the Angels in the American League, while the Cubs are also positioning themselves nicely in the N.L. Central. This weekend’s action will have its normal impact on the pennant chases. Here’s a look at what’s on tap, plus our feature on the Top StatFox Power Trends for ach series.
In the American League, there is one series that will command the most attention, a 3-game set between the Sox, White and Red, from Boston. Chicago leads the A.L. Central by 1-1/2 games over the Twins right now. They’ve won eight of their last 11 games to gain a bit of separation. Meanwhile, Boston remains 4-1/2 games behind the Rays in the East but boasts a 2-1/2 game lead in the wildcard race. The hosts are 40-16 as home favorites this year and figure to be the chalk in each of the three games.
The Cubs and Phillies are in the midst of a 4-game series that started on Thursday with Chicago’s 6-4 win. For the Cubs, it was a sixth straight win and enabled them to build their cushion over Milwaukee to six games in the Central. The Phillies trail the Mets by a game and are in the beginning stages of a 10-game road trip that will end in New York next weekend.
The other big series on tap is in Arizona, where the Dodgers, losers of seven straight games, will make a last ditch effort to get back in the N.L West race. They currently trail the DBacks by 3-1/2 games, but mentally, it probably seems like more than that with their recent struggles. Still, Arizona has also lost four straight games and is making it look like no one wants to represent the division in October’s postseason party.
Here are some of the top angles you might want to consider in your betting action this weekend.
PHILADELPHIA at CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 6.6, OPPONENT 2.8 - (Rating = 4*)
MILWAUKEE at PITTSBURGH
MILWAUKEE is 23-43 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 4.4, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
SAN FRANCISCO at CINCINNATI
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-5 (+11.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*)
NY METS at FLORIDA
NY METS are 17-8 OVER (+8.3 Units) in August games this season.
The average score was NY METS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
ATLANTA is 16-22 (-12.9 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
ST LOUIS at HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER (+10.4 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 4.1, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*)
LA DODGERS at ARIZONA
LA DODGERS are 42-60 (-24.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
COLORADO at SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 42-23 UNDER (+16.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.7, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 1*)
SEATTLE at CLEVELAND
SEATTLE is 13-29 (-16.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.
The average score was SEATTLE 3.8, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)
TORONTO at NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 19-2 UNDER (+16.7 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 3.5, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 5*)
KANSAS CITY at DETROIT
LEYLAND is 50-54 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents as the manager of DETROIT.
The average score was DETROIT 4.8, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 2*)
CHI WHITE SOX at BOSTON
BOSTON is 51-22 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 5.6, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 0*)
BALTIMORE at TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE is 24-9 OVER (+14.7 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.6, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 3*)
MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
MINNESOTA is 24-10 (+14.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 5.7, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 2*)
TEXAS at LA ANGELS
TEXAS is 14-6 OVER (+7.8 Units) with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games this season.
The average score was TEXAS 6.1, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 1*)
MLB: Yankees Favored to Open Big Series
2008-08-26
The final regular season series ever at Yankees Stadium between New York and Boston commences Tuesday night. If the Bronx Bombers have any aspirations of still making a push towards the 2008 postseason, they’ll need to play their best series of the year. As a small favorite in Game 1 of the 3-game set, the Yanks will send Andy Pettitte to the hill to face off against Tim Wakefield. Over 90% of the early action at Sportsbook.com backs the hosts.
If there were ever a time to exercise ghosts from the past, now would be the perfect time for the New York Yankees. With Yankee Stadium wilting down to a few precious weeks before the final game is played at the famous ball park, maybe this would be the week to hang pictures throughout the stadium with Boston in town. Maybe banners with Bucky Dent’s face, Reggie Jackson, Babe Ruth and Mickey Mantle plastered all over the place, to remind the Red Sox there is a reason why they have won only 37 percent of the time at Yankee Stadium over the last 85 years. With what is at stake for New York, it’s time to use every trick in the book.
The Yankees trail Boston by five games for the wild card spot and have to win a minimum of two games in this series to realistically hold on to any chance of snagging last postseason berth in the American League, with just over a month to go. Despite a mastery over the Red Sox for years, the magic ended when New York lost four straight in the 2004 ALCS to Boston. The Red Sox have gone on to win two World Series since then and the Bronx Bombers have lost four consecutive playoff series. For New York, this season it’s about just trying to extend 13-year run of October baseball.
“I feel like it’s a must-win series,” Andy Pettitte (13-9, 4.17, 1.344 WHIP) told the team’s official Web site. “I don’t necessarily feel like we need to sweep them, but I feel like we need to win the series.” Pettitte has a long history of success against the BoSox and is opening game starter. In the last 11 years, the left-hander is 16-7 versus Boston and his team has won 19 of his 28 starts. Sportsbook.com has New York as -155 money line home favorites and with total Un9.5. Since 1997, Pettitte and the teams he has pitched for are 52-18 as a home favorite of -150 to -200.
Boston will go for two virtual eliminations in a row, having taken down Toronto on the road, all but closing out what chances they had left and will try to do the same to the Yanks. You have to love managers like Terry Francona, who so desperately try to keep everything on even keel, even when they understand what is at stake. He knows this is big series and is trying to sell it like his club is playing Seattle this week, just with more people in the stands. “Because of the media and the fans, there’s more energy or electricity in the ballpark, but you can’t bring in a pitcher an inning earlier,” Francona said. “They don’t give you two wins when you beat the Yankees.”
Thanks for insightful information T.F., here is something that is useful for baseball bettors, Boston is 21-8 in road games when playing with a day off over the last three seasons. Tim Wakefield (7-8, 3.67, 1.177) will make first start since coming off the disabled list and has one win in last 11 starts (Boston 2-9) against the team in pinstripes. Another factor working against the knuckle-baller and his club is they have combined to produce 4-12 record against teams with winning record the last two seasons and are 0-8 in this situation if it occurs in the second portion of the season.
The total does cause confusion as to what way is best to wager. With Pettitte on the hill, manager Joe Girardi’s club is 17-5 Under. Boston is 16-5 Under as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 2006, when giving Wakefield the starting assignment. Just when this seems so cut and dry, you realize New York is 16-3 Over off two straight road wins against AL East rival over the last three years.
This heavyweight encounter can be viewed in local markets or on MLB.TV starting at 7:05 Eastern. These teams have split a dozen meetings in 2008.
StatFox Power Line – Yankees -114
